Much of the coverage of the French reaction to AUKUS focuses on the loss of the commercial contract.
However, there is something much deeper at play here for France. From a French perspective, he was betrayed and humiliated by an “Anglosphere” trio comprising Britain and two of its former colonies, one of which, ironically, helped break France free from London rule.
So how should France teach some manners to the Anglosphere? France was the biggest proponent of a greater role for the EU in Asia. Now rejected by the Anglos, it is predicted that France will look to its European allies, in whom it trusts and on whom it counts as members of the EU as well as NATO partners, to develop a European strategy. in Asia.
An option to take the Anglos down a notch or two may not be immediate or obvious. However, this would significantly increase the geographic footprint of EU NATO members and impose high costs on the UK.
France was the midwife of American independence. Now Mr Macron can do the same for Scotland, a nation with which France has made a mutual defense pact for hundreds of years, which Charles de Gaulle has described as “the oldest alliance in the world”.
Earlier this month, the Scottish government presented its program to the government. If Covid allows, there will be a referendum on Scottish independence within the next two years. It will require international recognition, especially from EU members, if Boris Johnson sticks to his current Trumpian position of not recognizing a legal democratic vote.
In these conditions, helping the expression of Scottish self-determination seems a reasonable path for France. London would be forced to build a new base in England for the British nuclear submarine fleet, currently based entirely in Scotland, at an estimated cost of between £ 4 billion and £ 10 billion or more. This would drastically reduce the financial gains the UK hopes to derive from AUSUK.
While polls currently put support for independence at 50%, long-term polls by age group suggest independence is inevitable 10 years from now. France has the opportunity to play a historic role and to declare that it would recognize the referendum.
The UK without Scotland would experience a deep identity crisis. Its flag should be redesigned, as should that of Australia. France needs to heal after the bruises inflicted by the Anglosphere and the dismemberment of the motherland from the Anglosphere begins to resemble France’s strategic interest. What’s more, schadenfreude is an underrated form of therapy.
IN your article covering the revelation that Jeremy Paxman would vote for Scottish independence if there were to be a second referendum, you quote a UK government spokesperson: ‘The UK government’s only priority is to continue to deploy UK life. save the vaccination program and recover from the health and economic emergency. It is our duty and our only responsibility.
It must then be a different UK government which has, over the last 12 months, introduced, among other measures, the Home Market Act which undermines the devolution regulation, the Electoral Integrity Bill. requiring voter identification in elections, the Police, Crime, Sentences and Courts Bill. which gives authorities broader powers to restrict protests, and the Judicial Review and Courts Bill to restrict the ability to challenge government actions in court.
British government spokespersons are as misunderstood by the truth as their political masters.